Open-weight AI adoption, charted

Track the models, countries and local formats reshaping open AI. Every number is dated, sourced and scoped.

Sources: Vercel, Hugging Face and Stanford AI Index

Open weights now carry 57.6% of production tokens

Daily share on Vercel AI Gateway rose from 32.6% on 29 May to 57.6% on 26 August, peaking at 61.6%.

61.6% peak · 22 Aug

Daily Vercel AI Gateway token volume Not global AI usage

View Vercel source
Daily open-weight and closed-weight share of Vercel AI Gateway token volume
DateOpen weightsClosed weights
2026-05-2932.6%67.4%
2026-05-3033.7%66.3%
2026-05-3134.4%65.6%
2026-06-0126.8%73.2%
2026-06-0228.8%71.2%
2026-06-0329.9%70.1%
2026-06-0432.1%67.9%
2026-06-0532.5%67.5%
2026-06-0643.9%56.1%
2026-06-0742.3%57.7%
2026-06-0835.1%64.9%
2026-06-0936.3%63.7%
2026-06-1033.2%66.8%
2026-06-1134.3%65.7%
2026-06-1236.2%63.8%
2026-06-1344.5%55.5%
2026-06-1441.5%58.5%
2026-06-1533.6%66.4%
2026-06-1638.2%61.8%
2026-06-1738.4%61.6%
2026-06-1829.8%70.2%
2026-06-1926.8%73.2%
2026-06-2030.0%70.0%
2026-06-2129.9%70.1%
2026-06-2230.8%69.2%
2026-06-2330.8%69.2%
2026-06-2428.4%71.6%
2026-06-2530.2%69.8%
2026-06-2633.0%67.0%
2026-06-2738.3%61.7%
2026-06-2835.6%64.4%
2026-06-2934.9%65.1%
2026-06-3034.1%65.9%
2026-07-0127.5%72.5%
2026-07-0231.3%68.7%
2026-07-0341.4%58.6%
2026-07-0443.0%57.0%
2026-07-0546.6%53.4%
2026-07-0644.6%55.4%
2026-07-0746.7%53.3%
2026-07-0844.2%55.8%
2026-07-0946.3%53.7%
2026-07-1046.5%53.5%
2026-07-1150.7%49.3%
2026-07-1249.8%50.2%
2026-07-1346.4%53.6%
2026-07-1449.0%51.0%
2026-07-1545.7%54.3%
2026-07-1644.5%55.5%
2026-07-1742.6%57.4%
2026-07-1846.3%53.7%
2026-07-1949.6%50.4%
2026-07-2049.1%50.9%
2026-07-2151.0%49.0%
2026-07-2240.6%59.4%
2026-07-2342.2%57.8%
2026-07-2449.0%51.0%
2026-07-2549.3%50.7%
2026-07-2654.1%45.9%
2026-07-2748.3%51.7%
2026-07-2847.6%52.4%
2026-07-2945.4%54.6%
2026-07-3050.0%50.0%
2026-07-3145.8%54.2%
2026-08-0152.8%47.2%
2026-08-0253.5%46.5%
2026-08-0349.0%51.0%
2026-08-0448.0%52.0%
2026-08-0548.6%51.4%
2026-08-0654.1%45.9%
2026-08-0756.7%43.3%
2026-08-0861.4%38.6%
2026-08-0960.2%39.8%
2026-08-1054.0%46.0%
2026-08-1153.6%46.4%
2026-08-1250.5%49.5%
2026-08-1352.7%47.3%
2026-08-1452.3%47.7%
2026-08-1550.8%49.2%
2026-08-1655.8%44.2%
2026-08-1752.5%47.5%
2026-08-1852.7%47.3%
2026-08-1957.0%43.0%
2026-08-2057.3%42.7%
2026-08-2157.0%43.0%
2026-08-2261.6%38.4%
2026-08-2360.7%39.3%
2026-08-2450.1%49.9%
2026-08-2552.5%47.5%
2026-08-2657.6%42.4%

The geography of open AI

Where models are built and where they are adopted do not always line up. Production and usage need separate measures.

2. The U.S. still produces more notable models

In 2025, U.S.-based institutions produced 59 notable models, compared with 35 from China.

United States
59
China
35
020406080

Notable models released in 2025 Stanford AI Index 2026

View source
Notable AI models released in 2025
CountryModels
United States59
China35

3. China leads the open download layer

Chinese-origin models represented 41% of Hugging Face downloads over the past year.

41%
59%

Hugging Face downloads Unclear country origins are a known limitation

View source
Hugging Face downloads by model origin
OriginShare
China41%
Rest of world59%
Production leadership and adoption leadership are not the same metric.

The practical layer

4. Small models dominate real downloads

Among Hugging Face models that declare a parameter count, models under 1B represent 83% of all-time downloads.

Hugging Face downloads Declared parameter counts only

View source
All-time downloads by declared parameter count
Model sizeShare
Under 1B83%
1B to 100B16%
Above 100B1%

5. Local inference formats are growing faster

During the first seven months of 2026, repositories declaring GGUF grew far faster than the Hub overall.

GGUF
+464%
MLX
+148%
Hub overall
+21.5%
Transformers / PEFT
+16%
0%100%200%300%400%500%

Repository growth, Jan–Jul 2026 Hugging Face

View source
Hugging Face repository growth from January to July 2026
Format or groupGrowth
GGUF464%
MLX148%
Hub overall21.5%
Transformers / PEFT16%

Read the numbers correctly

Vercel token shares reflect production traffic routed through AI Gateway, not all global AI use. Downloads show activity inside one ecosystem. They are not unique users, revenue or global market share. Country refers to the originating organization, not where inference runs.

Open-weight AI statistics, explained

What does open-weight mean?

Open-weight means the model weights are downloadable. It does not necessarily mean the training data, code or full development process is open, and the license may still restrict some uses.

Is 57.6% global AI usage?

No. It is the daily share of tokens routed through Vercel AI Gateway on models with downloadable weights. It is a production signal inside that gateway, not global market share.

Why focus on small models and local formats?

Downloads and repository growth show where models become practical. GGUF and MLX connect open weights to hardware people can actually operate.

Dataset license and reuse conditions